Through the Pacific Climate Change Science Program (PCCSP). Pacific Climate Change Science Program (2009–11) The Pacific Climate Change Science. Through the program, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO undertook a range of. The Australian Climate Change Science Program. The Australian Climate Change Science Program underlines. Career Climate Forum; US Climate Change Science. Climate Change was established in 2009 at the Indian. Effects of global warming on Australia. Predictions measuring the effects of global warming on Australia assert that global warming will negatively impact the continent's environment, economy, and communities. Australia has been designated as one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change, according to the Stern Review and others, due partially to the importance of its agricultural sector and the prominence of its coast. The continent's high fire risk increases this susceptibility to change in temperature and climate. Additionally, Australia's population is highly concentrated in coastal areas, and its important tourism industry depends on the health of the Great Barrier Reef and other fragile ecosystems. Australian Climate Change; Climate Extremes; Modelling and Projections; Online Training; Climate Projections. About the projections. Learn about the underpinning science of climate change, modelling and projections. Department of Climate Change (2009) Australian Climate Change Science: A National Framework, Australian Government, Canberra, p. The Australian Climate Change Science Program (ACCSP) is the Australian Government’s flagship climate change science program. Australian Climate Change Science Programme. The impacts of climate change in Australia will be complex and to some degree uncertain, but increased foresight may enable the country to safeguard its future through planned mitigation and adaptation. Mitigation may reduce the ultimate extent of climate change and its impacts, but requires global solutions and cooperation, while adaptation can be performed at national and local levels. Consequently, Australia's annual average temperatures are projected to increase 0. Average precipitation in southwest and southeast Australia is projected to decline during this time period, while regions such as the northwest may experience increases in rainfall. Meanwhile, Australia's coastlines will experience erosion and inundation from an estimated 8. Such changes in climate will have diverse implications for Australia's environment, economy, and public health. The report provided assessments of observed Australian climate changes and causes, and projections for 2. The ACCSP will dedicate $1. Australian Climate Change Research: Perspectives on Successes, Challenges, and Future Directions. Bush fires. It also found that the combined frequencies of days with very high and extreme FFDI ratings are likely to increase 4. These include large- scale singularities . Coral reef ecosystems have a narrow temperature range, meaning that they can rapidly change from being a healthy system to being stressed, bleached, or at worst, eradicated. Evidence from carbon cycle modeling suggests that the deaths of forests in tropical regions might increase the net concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, by converting the terrestrial biosphere from a carbon sink to a source of CO2. Such deterioration could cause significant environmental and economic consequences through regional climate shifts in Australia and elsewhere, resulting from change in the global ocean circulation. Immense quantities of ice are held in the ice sheets of West Antarctica and Greenland, jointly containing the equivalent of approximately 1. Deterioration or breakdown of these ice sheets would lead to irreversible sea- level rise and coastal inundation across the globe. The CSIRO predicts that additional singularities caused by a temperature rise of between 2 and 3 degrees Celsius will be: Beginning of effects on thermohaline circulation (THC). The Great Barrier Reef is a prime example. Over the past 2. 0 years it has experienced unparalleled rates of bleaching. Additional warming of 1 . However, such benefits are unlikely to be sustained with increasingly severe effects of global warming. Changes in precipitation and consequent water management problems will further exacerbate Australia's current water availability and quality challenges, both for commercial and residential use. Climate change will affect growth, species composition and pest incursion of native species and in turn will profoundly affect water supply from these catchments. Increased re- afforestation in cleared catchments also has the prospect for water losses. This would degrade infrastructure and rise costs through intensified energy demands, maintenance for damaged transportation infrastructure, and disasters, such as coastal flooding. Climate modelling suggests that a temperature rise of 1. Proceedings of Living with Climate Change Conference. Canberra, 1. 9 December.) Combine this with sea level rise, and the result is greater flooding, due to higher levels of storm surge and wind speed. Coleman, T. Proceedings of Living with Climate Change Conference. Canberra, 1. 9 December.) Tourism of coastal areas may also be affected by coastal inundation and beach erosion, as a result of sea level rise and storm events. At higher levels of warming, coastal impacts become more severe with higher storm winds and sea levels. Property. Queensland is the most at risk state due to the presence of valuable beachfront housing. The HFZ contains a number of conservation parks such as Morialta CP and Cleland CP, which support large areas of fire- prone vegetation. The escarpment is cut by a number of very rugged gorges such as the Morialtta Gorge and Waterfall Gully. Development is restricted in the HFZ, with settlement mainly occurring on the uplands east of the escarpment. The roads traversing the escarpment tend to be very narrow and winding, and access or escape routes to some areas of settlement is poor, a factor which affected suburbs such as Greenhill during the 1. Ash Wednesday bushfires. The threat of bushfires is very prevalent within the region. A sea level rise of 1m would threaten the surrounding area, including suburban communities. It would also flood all of the city's major cargo shipping docks, surrounding cargo storage areas, the Docklands development and several marinas and berths in Port Phillip. A sea level rise of 1m would displace around 5. Areas completely inundated would include much of the Bellarine Peninsula and Swan Island, parts of Geelong, the Werribee Treatment Plant, all of Altona, Point Cook, Williamstown, West Melbourne, Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Elwood, Mordialloc, Braeside, Aspendale, Edithvale, Chelsea, Bonbeach, Carrum, Patterson Lakes, Seaford, Frankston North, Safety Beach and parts of Dromana, Rosebud, Rye, Blairgowrie and Sorrento. A rise of 5. In addition, the MCG would be located precariously close to the wider Yarra River and be subject to flooding. Such a rise would displace roughly 2. Melbourne and the Mornington Peninsula, excluding Geelong and the Bellarine Peninsula. A sea level rise of 1. Rail & freeway transportation to the Mornington Peninsula would also be cut off. The rise would submerge the West Gate Freeway, City. Link tunnels, and the northern link of City. Link, rendering the West Gate and Bolte Bridges useless. Bridges over the Yarra & Maribyrnong in the CBD and inner Melbourne would be submerged. The main rail hubs of Flinders Street and Spencer Street (Southern Cross) and the city loop, could also potentially be submerged, cutting rail links between all the major metro rail lines. A sea level rise of 1. Bribie Island. The Gold Coast, being built on low- lying land, particularly parts that were formerly wetlands, including many canal developments, are particularly at risk. A sea level rise of 1. Gold Coast. New developments are required by law to have a minimum floor height 2. A UNESCOWorld Heritage Site, the reef has experienced unprecedented rates of bleaching over the past two decades, and additional warming of only 1 . Climate Change: An Australian Guide to the Science and Potential Impacts(PDF). Commonwealth of Australia: Australian Greenhouse Office. Climate Change Impacts on Australia and the Benefits of Early Action to Reduce Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions: A consultancy report for the Australian Business Roundtable on Climate Change(PDF). Climate Change in Australia: Technical Report 2. ISBN 9. 78- 1- 9. Melbourne: The Age Newspaper. Retrieved 1. 3 February 2. Bushfire Cooperative Research Centre. Retrieved 1. 3 February 2. Ricketts (December 2. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Bushfire CRC and Australian Bureau of Meteorology. Retrieved 1. 3 February 2. Retrieved 1. 3 February 2. Retrieved 1. 2 February 2. Press release, Geneva, Switzerland, 2 July.^IPCC (2. Climate Change 2. Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Mc. Carthy, J., Canziani, O., Leary, N., Dokken, D and White, K. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, World Meteorological Organisation and United Nations Environment Programme. Cambridge University Press, 1. Mc. Innes, K. L., Walsh, K. J. E., Hubbert, G. D., and Beer, T. Natural Hazards 3. A consultancy report undertaken for the Gippsland Coastal Board by the Climate Impacts Group, CSIRO Atmospheric Research^Williams, A. A., Karoly, D. J., and Tapper, N. Climatic Change 4. Gill (eds), Flammable Australia: The Fire Regimes and Biodiversity of A Continent, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge UK, pp. Climate Change 2. Pew Centre on Global Climate Change, Arlington, VA, USA.^Jones, C. D., Cox, P. M., Essery, R. L. H., Roberts, D. L., and Woodage, M. J. Geophysical Research Letters 3. GL0. 16. 86.^ ab. Oppenheimer, M. Influence of CO2 emission rates on the stability of the thermohaline circulation. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, J. T. Houghton, Ding, Y., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., Dai, X., Maskell, K., and Johnson, C. A. Climate Dynamics, 2. Nature 6. 98. 3, 6. New Projections For Australia's Changing Climate^Jones, R. N. Biological Conservation, 7. Global Change Biology 8(1. Biological Conservation, 1. Hare, W., (2. 00. Assessment of Knowledge on Impacts of Climate Change . UNFCCC, WGBU, Berlin, . Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters 5, 1. In: Impacts of Global Change on Australian Temperate Forests. Gorman (eds), Working Paper Series, 9. Climatic Change 6. Journal of Environmental Management 6. Global Environmental Change 9, S3. Melbourne Water, Melbourne, 2. Mc. Michael, A. Commonwealth Department of Health and Ageing, 1. Howden, S. M., and Crimp, S. In: Integrating Models for Natural Resources Management Across Disciplines, Issues and Scales. Proceedings of the International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, December 2.
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